荷兰国际:新西兰联储将降息25基点 政策路径成关注焦点
8月19日讯,荷兰国际银行认为新西兰联储本周将降息25个基点,符合市场预期。预计即将公布的新利率路径预测可能完全体现11月再降息25个基点至2.75%的预期,但由于市场此前已充分消化终端利率将达2.75%的预期,即便联储明确这一路径,也不会被市场解读为超出预期的鸽派信号。维持新西兰联储在8月和11月各降息25基点的预期,11月降息后本轮宽松周期将结束。

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