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FRIDAY FORECAST UPDATE Under 24 hours to go! As expected, the storm track has trended slightly northwest since yesterday - here's what that means. CHANGES - More ice and sleet along I-85 and SE - Slightly less snow for I-85 corridor - Rain/frz-rain probabilities increasing SE of Charlotte KEY POINTS - Moisture arrives by noon Fri from SW - Snow for everyone initially - Transitions begin by sunset, moving SE to NW - Significant ice accums. possible in Metro & SE - Moisture exits by sunrise Sat to NE WHY AM I KEEPING 1-3" ALONG I-85? I've noticed I'm a bit of an outlier here compared to other forecasts around and I want to explain. Yes, there's more ice and sleet in the forecast and that will inevitably eat away at snow totals, but I think there's a decent chance we could pile up an inch or two in the Queen City Friday afternoon before we transition to an icy mix. To be clear, I think it's far more likely Charlotte sees 1" rather than 3". At the same time, some short-range models (HRRR & Graf) are keying in on a thin but heavy band of snow setting up just north of the transition line between I-40 and I-85. Someone is going to get lucky along/just south of I-40. It's just a matter of where that band sets up. IMPACTS - Mo' ice, mo' problems - Few-to-scattered outages in Metro & SE - Hazardous roads everywhere thru Sat noon BOTTOMLINE The ice potential is starting to look problematic, especially along and southeast of I-85. A quarter-inch of ice is more than enough to bring down weaker tree limbs on roads and power lines. The good news is that highs end up well above freezing for most in the Piedmont and Foothills by Saturday afternoon, which should help with melting. Once it starts snowing, stay off the roads through noon on Saturday. Stay safe! We'll keep you posted if anything changes.
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2025-01-09
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